The world this week--Business
Central-bank officials attending the annual Jackson Hole symposium conveyed a clear, hawkish message on interest rates.
Jerome Powell, chairman of the Federal Reserve, said he expected the Fed would raise rates throughout next year.
Officials from the European Central Bank talked of “sacrifice”, and said that the lessons of the 1970s showed there should be no easing of monetary tightening at the first signs of a dip in inflation.
The ECB is expected to lift rates at its next meeting on September 8th.
The central bankers warned that higher rates were necessary to tame inflation, even if they lead to recession.
The stark commitments to carry on with rate increases rattled stockmarkets.
The S&P 500, NASDAQ composite, Dow Jones Industrial Average, FTSE 100 and German DAX all fell sharply over a few days, wiping out most of the gains they had made during August’s rally.
Annual inflation in the euro zone rose to 9.1% in August (it was over 20% in the Baltic countries of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania).
All indicators point to prices rising even more sharply over the coming months.
The ECB is now expected to raise its main interest rate by more than half a percentage point.
Soaring energy prices are a big cause of Europe’s inflation woes, and show no sign of easing amid the disruption to Russian gas supplies.
This week Gazprom, Russia’s state gas producer, shut the Nord Stream 1 pipeline again for three days, apparently for more repairs.
Gazprom is also set to stop all shipments to Engie, a French utility, in a payment dispute.
Meanwhile, Uniper, one of Germany’s biggest utilities, asked for a government increase to its credit line to avoid a liquidity crunch.
Wien Energie, which supplies Vienna, warned of difficulties in financing its operations.
Amid the turmoil, the European Commission said it was working flat out on an intervention plan that would “decouple” gas prices from the electricity market.
In Britain the energy regulator lifted the price cap on bills by 80%.
From October the average household’s annual bill for gas and electricity will rise to ￡3,549 ($4,117).
Companies are not covered by the cap; some said they would go bankrupt.
Turkey’s economy grew by 7.6% in the second quarter, year on year.
The weak lira, a result of the government’s unorthodox economic policies, has boosted exports.
But household consumption, up by 22.5% in the quarter, also added to GDP.
With inflation at 80%, households have brought forward their purchases to beat further price increases over the coming months.
Meanwhile, Turkish authorities raised energy prices for households by an average of 20%, and industry by 50%.